Weekly Portfolio Update #65 (Mar 31, 2025)

Momentum-driven stock picks and swing trades, powered by my proprietary research.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock, where in-depth market analysis meets proven momentum-based trading strategies. My mission? To help you win in the markets with unbiased, data-driven insights you can act on.

As we head into a new week, it means it's time for my Weekly Portfolio Update! In this post, I'll cover my short, mid and long-term trading strategies. Stay tuned to learn about my approach, recent moves (or planned ones), and how my strategies have performed.

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Let's dive in!

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SUMMARY

1. Weekly Momentum Pick (my short-term tactical play): 

• My stock pick for this week is a leading company within the Energy sector, trading 2% from its 1-year high.

• Last week’s pick gained 0.9%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

• Since 2019, my momentum picks have achieved a 62% hit rate and returned 636%—outperforming the S&P 500 by 5x.

2. Swing Trade Portfolio (my comprehensive mid-term strategy): 

• Last week, I exited 2 positions and initiated 2 new ones. For the week ahead, I’m planning no new transactions.

• I own 3 positions, with all currently in profit. The top performers are McDonald’s ($MCD, +6%) and ExxonMobil ($XOM, +2%).

• Since its inception in October 2023, my Swing Trade Portfolio has returned 25%.

3. Macro ETF portfolio (my long-term, macro-driven allocation across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto):

• The portfolio is 81% allocated across 16 positions, and the best-performing ETFs are Bitcoin, up 200%, and $GLD (Gold), up 54%.

• The cumulative return is 19% since the portfolio inception in October 2023.

4. Stock Investing Portfolio (my momentum-backed selection of fundamentally strong stocks for long-term growth):

• The portfolio is 62% allocated across 15 positions, and the best-performing stocks are Netflix ($NFLX), up 125%, and $BKNG (Booking Holdings), up 65%.

• The cumulative return is 22% since the portfolio inception in November 2023.

Trading Week Reflection:

The S&P 500 and many stocks failed to sustain a move above the 21-day EMA last week. It served as another reminder to stay patient and wait for clearer trends to emerge. Unfortunately, we're not there yet. For the Swing Trade portfolio, it means being even more selective and mainly staying on the sidelines.

as for my long-term portfolios, I continue to gradually exit positions, including more sales planned for today. I now have a sizable amount of cash ready to deploy when this correction ends but also protecting me if it morphs into something worse.

On a separate note, I'm rolling out a new content structure this week. Monday's post will be about my Portfolio Update – performance and recent trades. Wednesday's post will cover my Momentum Reviews – rotating through segments, sectors, and stocks and focusing on mid/long-term trends. And Friday will remain the time for my Weekly Market Recap. This new structure will improve clarity and focus. It will also allow me greater flexibility in what I trade while still covering the most important tickers. Enjoy!

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STRATEGY & PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategies, check out my detailed post below:

PERFORMANCE UPDATE

1) Momentum Pick

Since 2019, my stock picks have delivered consistently strong returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The cumulative return on my weekly momentum picks stands at +636% (when traded with a stop-loss), surpassing the S&P 500 by 5x.

Last week, my stock pick gained 0.9%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

2) SWING TRADE PORTFOLIO

My research and extensive back-testing have shown that this swing trade strategy can deliver substantial gains over time, both in absolute terms and relative to the benchmark index. For full transparency, I report the portfolio’s performance in real-time via Savvy Trader.

Since I began the tracking in October 2023, my Swing Trade portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +25%. Last week, the portfolio gained 0.2%.

The top current performers include McDonald’s ($MCD, +6%) and ExxonMobil ($XOM, +2%).

MACRO ETF PORTFOLIO

While my back-testing and research have shown promising results, I prioritize full transparency by reporting performance only from the portfolio’s initiation on Savvy Trader in October 2023. Since then, the Macro Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +19%, while the leveraged version has delivered +30%, with the top performers being Bitcoin, up 200%, and $GLD (Gold), up 54%.. Over the past week, the portfolio lost 0.5%.

STOCK INVESTING PORTFOLIO

Since then, the Stock Investing Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +22%. Top performers are $NFLX (+125%) and $BKNG (+65%). Over the past week, the portfolio decreased by 1.2%.

Want to see what I’m trading this week? Start your 30-day free trial to access my weekly picks, portfolio updates, and in-depth analysis—all backed by my momentum research.

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WEEKLY PICKS & PORTFOLIO UPDATES

1) Momentum Pick of the Week