Weekly Portfolio Update #67 (Apr 14, 2025)

Momentum-driven stock picks, swing trades and long-term portfolio updates, powered by my proprietary momentum research.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock, where in-depth market analysis meets proven momentum-based trading strategies. My mission? To help you win in the markets with unbiased, data-driven insights you can act on.

As we head into a new week, it means it's time for my Weekly Portfolio Update! In this post, I'll cover my short, mid and long-term trading strategies. Stay tuned to learn about my approach, recent moves (or planned ones), and how my strategies have performed.

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Let's dive in!

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SUMMARY

1. Weekly Momentum Pick (my short-term tactical play): 

• My stock pick for this week is a leading company within the Consumer Defensive sector, trading 3% from its 1-year high

• Last week’s pick gained 3.7%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

• Since 2019, my momentum picks have achieved a 61% hit rate and returned 635%—outperforming the S&P 500 by 5x.

2. Swing Trade Portfolio (my comprehensive mid-term strategy): 

• Last week, I exited 2 positions, reduced exposure in 2 positions and initiated 2 new ones. For the week ahead, I’m planning 4 new additions.

• I own 4 positions, with 2 currently in profit. The top performers are Broadcom ($AVGO, +9%) and UnitedHealth ($UNH, +17%).

• Since its inception in October 2023, my Swing Trade Portfolio has returned 25%.

3. Macro ETF portfolio (my long-term, macro-driven allocation across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto):

• The portfolio is 48% allocated across 10 positions, and the best-performing ETFs are Bitcoin, up 202%, and $GLD (Gold), up 61%.

• The cumulative return is 15% since the portfolio inception in October 2023.

4. Stock Investing Portfolio (my momentum-backed selection of fundamentally strong stocks for long-term growth):

• The portfolio is 35% allocated across 8 positions, and the best-performing stocks are Netflix ($NFLX), up 121%, and $BKNG (Booking Holdings), up 63%.

• The cumulative return is 20% since the portfolio inception in November 2023.

Trading Week Reflection:

I entered the week with high cash levels across portfolios, which helped protect me from most of the early-week whipsaw. Of course, that also capped my gains when the markets turned green mid-week. While it’s frustrating to miss out on big green days (yes, I have FOMO like everyone else), I do my best to stay disciplined and trust my system.

And right now, it’s telling me it’s still too early to say whether we’re seeing a true V-shaped recovery—like in 2020—or just another bear market rally, like spring 2022. Whatever this is, I believe we could see some relief in the coming weeks, which opens the door to short-term tradeable setups. That’s why I feel comfortable deploying some cash in my Swing Trade Portfolio starting this Monday.

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STRATEGY & PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategies, check out my detailed post below:

PERFORMANCE UPDATE

1) Momentum Pick

Since 2019, my stock picks have delivered consistently strong returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The cumulative return on my weekly momentum picks stands at +635% (when traded with a stop-loss), surpassing the S&P 500 by 5x.

Last week, my stock pick gained 3.7%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

2) SWING TRADE PORTFOLIO

My research and extensive back-testing have shown that this swing trade strategy can deliver substantial gains over time, both in absolute terms and relative to the benchmark index.

Since I began the tracking in October 2023, my Swing Trade portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +25%. Last week, the portfolio gained 0.8%.

The top current performers include Broadcom ($AVGO, +9%) and UnitedHealth ($UNH, +17%).

MACRO ETF PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in October 2023, the Macro ETF Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +14%, while the leveraged version has delivered +18%, with the top performers being Bitcoin, up 199% and $GLD (Gold), up 61%. Over the past week, the portfolio lost 0.2%.

STOCK INVESTING PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in November 2023, the Stock Investing Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +20%. Top performers are $NFLX (+121%) and $BKNG (+63%). Over the past week, the portfolio gained 2.1%.

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WEEKLY PICKS & PORTFOLIO UPDATES

1) Momentum Pick of the Week