Weekly Portfolio Update #68 (Apr 21, 2025)

Momentum-driven stock picks, swing trades and long-term portfolio updates, powered by my proprietary momentum research.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock, where in-depth market analysis meets proven momentum-based trading strategies. My mission? To help you win in the markets with unbiased, data-driven insights you can act on.

As we head into a new week, it means it's time for my Weekly Portfolio Update! In this post, I'll cover my short, mid and long-term trading strategies. Stay tuned to learn about my approach, recent moves (or planned ones), and how my strategies have performed.

Before we dive into this week’s analysis, I’m excited to share a special Easter offer! 🎉Until Monday, you can get 50% off your first year subscription of My Weekly Stock. As a paid subscriber, you’ll gain exclusive access to my winning portfolios—and so much more: A Clear Investing Framework, Momentum-Based Analysis and Live Portfolio Updates

If you’re ready to give it a try—or just want to support my work—this is your chance!

Let's dive in!

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SUMMARY

1. Weekly Momentum Pick (my short-term tactical play): 

• My stock pick for this week, a leading company within the Consumer Defensive sector, trading 1% from its 1-year high.

• Last week’s pick gained 2.4%, bringing my 2025 performance to -1%.

• Since 2019, my momentum picks have achieved a 61% hit rate and returned 653%—outperforming the S&P 500 by 6x.

2. Swing Trade Portfolio (my comprehensive mid-term strategy): 

• Last week, I initiated 5 new positions. For the week ahead, I’m planning 3 sales and 2 new additions.

• I own 9 positions, with 4 currently in profit. The top performers are Broadcom ($AVGO, +3%) and Colgate-Palmolive ($CL, +1%).

• Since its inception in October 2023, my Swing Trade Portfolio has returned 23%.

3. Macro ETF portfolio (my long-term, macro-driven allocation across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto):

• The portfolio is 48% allocated across 10 positions, and the best-performing ETFs are Bitcoin, up 202%, and $GLD (Gold), up 66%.

• The cumulative return is 15% since the portfolio inception in October 2023.

4. Stock Investing Portfolio (my momentum-backed selection of fundamentally strong stocks for long-term growth):

• The portfolio is 35% allocated across 8 positions, and the best-performing stocks are Netflix ($NFLX), up 135%, and $BKNG (Booking Holdings), up 63%.

• The cumulative return is 20% since the portfolio inception in November 2023.

Trading Week Reflection:

After weeks as a net seller, I finally started deploying cash in the Swing Trade portfolio, opening 5 new positions last week. So far, I haven't seen much upside, as the recent relief rally is somewhat losing steam.

The most reliable area continues to be Consumer Defensive, which helped my recent momentum picks perform relatively well. That also says a lot about the strength of this rally—unfortunately. However, I don't want overexposure to defensives, and I'm already well-positioned in that space. So, I'm actually looking to dip into cyclical and growth names showing relative strength. That said, caution still feels warranted when looking at the broader market, so I'll maintain a sizeable cash position for now.

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STRATEGY & PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategies, check out my detailed post below:

PERFORMANCE UPDATE

1) Momentum Pick

Since 2019, my stock picks have delivered consistently strong returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The cumulative return on my weekly momentum picks stands at +653% (when traded with a stop-loss), surpassing the S&P 500 by 6x.

Last week, my stock pick gained 2.4%, bringing my 2025 performance to -1%.

2) SWING TRADE PORTFOLIO

My research and extensive back-testing have shown that this swing trade strategy can deliver substantial gains over time, both in absolute terms and relative to the benchmark index.

Since I began the tracking in October 2023, my Swing Trade portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +23%. Last week, the portfolio gained 1.5%.

The top current performers include Broadcom ($AVGO, +2%) and Colgate-Palmolive ($CL, +1%).

MACRO ETF PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in October 2023, the Macro ETF Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +15%, while the leveraged version has delivered +17%, with the top performers being Bitcoin, up 202% and $GLD (Gold), up 66%. Over the past week, the portfolio gained 0.3%.

STOCK INVESTING PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in November 2023, the Stock Investing Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +20%. Top performers are $NFLX (+134%) and $BKNG (+63%). Over the past week, the portfolio lost 0.7%.

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WEEKLY PICKS & PORTFOLIO UPDATES

1) Momentum Pick of the Week