Weekly Portfolio Update #69 (Apr 28, 2025)

Momentum-driven stock picks, swing trades and long-term portfolio updates, powered by my proprietary momentum research.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock, where in-depth market analysis meets proven momentum-based trading strategies. My mission? To help you win in the markets with unbiased, data-driven insights you can act on.

As we head into a new week, it means it's time for my Weekly Portfolio Update! In this post, I'll cover my short, mid and long-term trading strategies. Stay tuned to learn about my approach, recent moves (or planned ones), and how my strategies have performed.

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SUMMARY

1. Weekly Momentum Pick (my short-term tactical play): 

• My stock pick for this week, a leading company within the Consumer Cyclical sector, trading 3% from its 1-year high

• Last week’s pick lost 2.0%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

• Since 2019, my momentum picks have achieved a 61% hit rate and returned 638%—outperforming the S&P 500 by 5x.

2. Swing Trade Portfolio (my comprehensive mid-term strategy): 

• Last week, I initiated 8 new positions and exited 4. For the week ahead, I’m planning 1 sale and 5 new additions.

• I own 13 positions, with 11 currently in profit. The top performers are Bitcoin ETF ($IBIT, +13%) and GE Aerospace ($GE, +7%).

• Since its inception in October 2023, my Swing Trade Portfolio has returned 25%.

3. Macro ETF portfolio (my long-term, macro-driven allocation across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto):

• The portfolio is 47% allocated across 9 positions, and the best-performing ETFs are Bitcoin, up 237%, and $GLD (Gold), up 65%.

• The cumulative return is 17% since the portfolio inception in October 2023.

4. Stock Investing Portfolio (my momentum-backed selection of fundamentally strong stocks for long-term growth):

• The portfolio is 32% allocated across 7 positions, and the best-performing stocks are Netflix ($NFLX), up 165%, and $BKNG (Booking Holdings), up 72%.

• The cumulative return is 22% since the portfolio inception in November 2023.

Trading Week Reflection:

Last week, I wrote: "I don't want overexposure to defensives, and I'm already well-positioned in that space. So, I'm actually looking to dip into cyclical and growth names showing relative strength."

That's exactly what I did—and it led to one of the most active weeks in the Swing Trade portfolio in months. It paid off as risk-on sentiment came back.

I plan to continue accelerating cash deployment in the short-term account to ride the bounce while it lasts. However, I'm not turning fully bullish just yet. I'm still holding significant cash reserves in both of my long-term accounts. As I highlighted in my review of past bear markets, fake-out rallies are common during bearish cycles, so I want more confirmation before aggressively positioning.

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STRATEGY & PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategies, check out my detailed post below:

PERFORMANCE UPDATE

1) Momentum Pick

Since 2019, my stock picks have delivered consistently strong returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The cumulative return on my weekly momentum picks stands at +638% (when traded with a stop-loss), surpassing the S&P 500 by 5x.

Last week, my stock pick lost 2.0%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

2) SWING TRADE PORTFOLIO

My research and extensive back-testing have shown that this swing trade strategy can deliver substantial gains over time, both in absolute terms and relative to the benchmark index.

Since I began the tracking in October 2023, my Swing Trade portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +25%. Last week, the portfolio gained 1.8%.

The top current performers include Bitcoin ETF ($IBIT, +13%) and GE Aerospace ($GE, +7%).

MACRO ETF PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in October 2023, the Macro ETF Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +17%, while the leveraged version has delivered +19%, with the top performers being Bitcoin, up 237% and $GLD (Gold), up 65%. Over the past week, the portfolio gained 2.4%.

STOCK INVESTING PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in November 2023, the Stock Investing Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +22%. Top performers are $NFLX (+165%) and $BKNG (+72%). Over the past week, the portfolio gained 2.3%.

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WEEKLY PICKS & PORTFOLIO UPDATES

1) Momentum Pick of the Week