Weekly Portfolio Update #70 (Apr 30, 2025)

Momentum-driven stock picks, swing trades and long-term portfolio updates, powered by my proprietary momentum research.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock, where in-depth market analysis meets proven momentum-based trading strategies. My mission? To help you win in the markets with unbiased, data-driven insights you can act on.

As we head into a new week, it means it's time for my Weekly Portfolio Update! In this post, I'll cover my short, mid and long-term trading strategies. Stay tuned to learn about my approach, recent moves (or planned ones), and how my strategies have performed.

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Let's dive in!

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SUMMARY

1. Weekly Momentum Pick (my short-term tactical play): 

• My stock pick for this week, a leading company within the Financial sector, trading 1% from its 1-year high.

• Last week’s pick lost 2.0%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

• Since 2019, my momentum picks have achieved a 61% hit rate and returned 635%—outperforming the S&P 500 by 5x.

2. Swing Trade Portfolio (my comprehensive mid-term strategy): 

• Last week, I initiated 8 new positions and exited 1. For the week ahead, I’m planning 3 partial sales.

• I own 20 positions, with 17 currently in profit. The top performers are Bitcoin ETF ($IBIT, +15%) and Uber ($UBER, +13%).

• Since its inception in October 2023, my Swing Trade Portfolio has returned 27%.

3. Macro ETF portfolio (my long-term, macro-driven allocation across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto):

• The portfolio is 47% allocated across 9 positions, and the best-performing ETFs are Bitcoin, up 244%, and $GLD (Gold), up 61%.

• The cumulative return is 18% since the portfolio inception in October 2023.

4. Stock Investing Portfolio (my momentum-backed selection of fundamentally strong stocks for long-term growth):

• The portfolio is 32% allocated across 7 positions, and the best-performing stocks are Netflix ($NFLX), up 178%, and $BKNG (Booking Holdings), up 85%.

• The cumulative return is 23% since the portfolio inception in November 2023.

Trading Week Reflection:

As short-term momentum built up, I continued to deploy cash fairly aggressively into the Swing Trade Portfolio. While volatility remained elevated—especially with earnings season in full swing—most trades worked well. Some names have already run quite hot, so I'll begin trimming a few positions. Locking in gains is a healthy habit to maintain, even when short-term momentum still looks strong.

This week, I will start putting some capital into working in the long-term accounts. However, I still need more confirmation before deploying cash more aggressively. That might sound overly conservative and like I'm leaving money on the table. Still, I'm comfortable with that approach in uncertain conditions as my #1 job in turbulent times is to protect capital.

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STRATEGY & PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategies, check out my detailed post below:

PERFORMANCE UPDATE

1) Momentum Pick

Since 2019, my stock picks have delivered consistently strong returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The cumulative return on my weekly momentum picks stands at +635% (when traded with a stop-loss), surpassing the S&P 500 by 5x.

Last week, my stock pick lost 2.0%, bringing my 2025 performance to -3%.

2) SWING TRADE PORTFOLIO

My research and extensive back-testing have shown that this swing trade strategy can deliver substantial gains over time, both in absolute terms and relative to the benchmark index.

Since I began the tracking in October 2023, my Swing Trade portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +27%. Last week, the portfolio gained 1.5%.

The top current performers include Bitcoin ETF ($IBIT, +15%) and Uber ($UBER, +13%).

MACRO ETF PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in October 2023, the Macro ETF Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +18%, while the leveraged version has delivered +19%, with the top performers being Bitcoin, up 244% and $GLD (Gold), up 62%. Over the past week, the portfolio gained 0.5%.

STOCK INVESTING PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in November 2023, the Stock Investing Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +23%. Top performers are $NFLX (+179%) and $BKNG (+85%). Over the past week, the portfolio gained 1.1%.

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WEEKLY PICKS & PORTFOLIO UPDATES

1) Momentum Pick of the Week