Weekly Portfolio Update #80 (Jul 1, 2025)

Momentum-driven stock picks, swing trades and long-term portfolio updates, powered by my proprietary momentum research.

Dear readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock, where in-depth market analysis meets proven momentum-based trading strategies. My mission? To help you win in the markets with unbiased, data-driven insights you can act on.

As we head into a new week, it means it's time for my Weekly Portfolio Update! In this post, I'll cover my short, mid and long-term trading strategies. Stay tuned to learn about my approach, recent moves (or planned ones), and how my strategies have performed.

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Let's dive in!

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SUMMARY

1. Weekly Momentum Pick (my short-term tactical play): 

• My stock pick for this week, a leading company within the Technology sector, trading 2% from its 1-year high.

• Last week’s pick lost 2.0%, bringing my 2025 performance to 5%.

• Since 2019, my momentum picks have achieved a 61% hit rate and returned 692%—outperforming the S&P 500 by 5x.

2. Swing Trade Portfolio (my comprehensive mid-term strategy): 

• Last week, I initiated 2 new positions, took profit on 3, and exited on 3. For the week ahead, I’m planning to exit 3 positions and start 1 new.

• I own 28 positions, with 21 currently in profit. The top performers are Coinbase ($COIN, +95%) and Lam Research ($LRCX, +45%).

• Since its inception in October 2023, my Swing Trade Portfolio has returned 46%.

3. Macro ETF portfolio (my long-term, macro-driven allocation across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto):

• The portfolio is 92% allocated across 15 positions, and the best-performing ETFs are Bitcoin, up 320%, and $GLD (Gold), up 67%.

• The cumulative return is 30% since the portfolio inception in October 2023.

4. Stock Investing Portfolio (my momentum-backed selection of fundamentally strong stocks for long-term growth):

• The portfolio is 99% allocated across 20 positions, and the best-performing stocks are Netflix ($NFLX), up 200%, and $BKNG (Booking Holdings), up 104%.

• The cumulative return is 25% since the portfolio inception in November 2023.

Trading Week Reflection:

This week, I was a net seller in the swing portfolio. While I was eager to deploy more capital, it was challenging to find quality setups. After a three-month rally and 30%+ gains for the index, now is not the time to take unnecessary risks. The poor performance of momentum picks last week further confirms my view.

I am not turning bearish short-term, but I am keeping existing positions on a tight leash and being more selective about where I deploy capital next. With many positions already having taken profits once or twice, I am comfortable seeing how the rest of the summer unfolds, but I remain ready to act when necessary.

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STRATEGY & PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW

If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategies, check out my detailed post below:

PERFORMANCE UPDATE

1) Momentum Pick

Since 2019, my stock picks have delivered consistently strong returns, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. The cumulative return on my weekly momentum picks stands at +692% (when traded with a stop-loss), surpassing the S&P 500 by 5x.

Last week, my stock pick lost 2%, bringing my 2025 performance to +5%.

2) SWING TRADE PORTFOLIO

My research and extensive back-testing have shown that this swing trade strategy can deliver substantial gains over time, both in absolute terms and relative to the benchmark index.

Since I began the tracking in October 2023, my Swing Trade portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +46%. Last week, the portfolio lost 0.8%.

The top current performers include Coinbase ($COIN, +95%) and Lam Research ($LRCX, +45%).

3) MACRO ETF PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in October 2023, the Macro ETF Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +30%, with the top performers being Bitcoin, up 321% and $GLD (Gold), up 67%. Over the past week, the portfolio gained 2.2%.

4) STOCK INVESTING PORTFOLIO

Since its inception in November 2023, the Stock Investing Portfolio has achieved a cumulative return of +25%. Top performers are $NFLX (+200%) and $BKNG (+104%). Over the past week, the portfolio lost 2.7%.

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WEEKLY PICKS & PORTFOLIO UPDATES

1) Momentum Pick of the Week